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Nfl week 1 betting trends free on bet after party 2011

Nfl week 1 betting trends

Let's take a look at the biggest trends as we head into the first weekend of the NFL season. The New England Patriots currently hold a six-point spread, and 87 percent of all side bets are in their favor to cover the spread. At the open, they had a seven-point spread, so taking the current bet is even more enticing.

Bettors who are foregoing the spread are also heavily betting on the Pats against the Tennessee Titans, and who can blame them? Jake Locker is getting his first career start, and I guarantee that Bill Belichick has something special dialed up for the greenhorn. It's really no surprise that the Patriots are trending like this. Many pundits believe that the team is capable of winning up to 15 games, and this upcoming contest against the Titans should be nothing more than a speed bump in their pursuit of another postseason run.

The Houston Texans are favored to win by a whopping 13 points this Sunday when they host the Miami Dolphins. Even though it makes perfect, logical sense on paper to assume that the Texans will win, especially at home, the team's offensive stars are prone to injury. If the team suffers a rash of injuries in their home opener, it could be a rough night for those who took this bet. Still, the Texans are superior to the Dolphins in every single way, and they will likely win the game. Being that the spread is only three points, I'm surprised that more people aren't giving the Kansas City Chiefs a chance to beat the spread.

The Atlanta Falcons will be in an extremely hostile environment, and the sea of red has caused many a team to lose focus on Sundays. More than half the bettors who are betting straight up are picking the Chiefs to win at home. This doesn't surprise me at all. As I mentioned, it's tough to win at Arrowhead stadium , and though the Falcons are loaded this year, the Chiefs are really solid on defense.

Still, I'd be in the minority here, as I'm confident the Falcons will come away with the victory. I'm not surprised at all to see that most people believe this game will be a close one. Both teams have some big weaknesses, though the Seattle Seahawks are a more complete team at this time than the Arizona Cardinals. I am surprised by this, however, and it tells me that Russell Wilson mania is in full effect to start the season. Don't get me wrong. The Pittsburgh Steelers will likely need the entire year to make up for their minus-seven turnover differential heading into Week 2.

Turnovers are something that many casual bettors ignore when handicapping football, and that proves costly at the end of the season. Casual bettors don't really understand it and will often miss the best available number over the course of the week. Sharp bettors that played the Houston Texans as three-point favorites early in the offseason had nearly a touchdown advantage on players that walked into sports books for the first time last Sunday.

The first week of the regular season is unique due to the amount of time lines are available to wager on leading up to kickoff. With that being said, the first initial move in all 16 games finished the opening week with a ATS record. Home underdogs are something that every NFL bettor should monitor throughout the season, as these games often see the most early wagers when lines are released.

Seven signal-callers threw for over yards, including three that went over the yard mark.

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OVER UNDER BETTING NFL PLAYOFFS

Even though it makes perfect, logical sense on paper to assume that the Texans will win, especially at home, the team's offensive stars are prone to injury. If the team suffers a rash of injuries in their home opener, it could be a rough night for those who took this bet. Still, the Texans are superior to the Dolphins in every single way, and they will likely win the game. Being that the spread is only three points, I'm surprised that more people aren't giving the Kansas City Chiefs a chance to beat the spread.

The Atlanta Falcons will be in an extremely hostile environment, and the sea of red has caused many a team to lose focus on Sundays. More than half the bettors who are betting straight up are picking the Chiefs to win at home. This doesn't surprise me at all. As I mentioned, it's tough to win at Arrowhead stadium , and though the Falcons are loaded this year, the Chiefs are really solid on defense.

Still, I'd be in the minority here, as I'm confident the Falcons will come away with the victory. I'm not surprised at all to see that most people believe this game will be a close one. Both teams have some big weaknesses, though the Seattle Seahawks are a more complete team at this time than the Arizona Cardinals.

I am surprised by this, however, and it tells me that Russell Wilson mania is in full effect to start the season. Don't get me wrong. I have a high opinion of the young man, but I'm not convinced he's going to have as much success during the regular season as he did during the preseason. Plus, even though John Skelton was terrible in the preseason, we know from his time as the Cardinals' starter in that he's a gamer. I won't be surprised in the least to see the Cards come away with a victory here.

I'm a bit surprised that the spread is only seven points in this contest. The home team is given plus-three points, all things being equal, so what the oddsmakers are saying here is that the New Orleans Saints are only four points better than the Washington Redskins. I'm not surprised that 59 percent of side bets are being given to the Saints, though. People are rightfully a bit nervous about how well the Saints might perform without their head coach.

Out of all the people taking the straight bet, only one-quarter of them believe the Saints will win. The Chiefs rank second in third-down conversion percentage. These teams rank second and fifth in points per play and second and seventh in yards per play. Kansas City went in games decided by three points or less. Tampa went The Bucs rank first in yards allowed per rush attempt.

The Chiefs are 24th. The Chiefs are fourth. The Bucs had the fifth-fewest penalty yards on their home field. KC had the third-most penalty yards on the road. Travis Kelce has topped receiving yards in seven of his last 10 games. He had at least eight receptions in nine of those 10 games. The Bucs allowed the seventh-most receptions to TEs this season. Chris Godwin has been targeted seven more times than Mike Evans in the playoffs.

Antonio Brown has scored a TD in four of his last five games. Tom Brady is old while Patrick Mahomes is young. Did you realize that? The Chiefs are SU in their last 27 games. The Chiefs are ATS in their last 10 games. Avg combined score: Avg winning margin: The Buccaneers are SU in their last seven games at home vs teams with winning records.

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NFL Picks and Odds for Week 1 - 2020-21 Football Regular Season

Matthew Freedman is You can plus another bad Sunday for. Notable Bets: Favorites, and bettors, Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers who the question mark csgo betting favored for the. Notable Bets: Survivor contest disaster, tend not to run up. Notable Bets: The remaking of offensive line is projected to. A gamble on Brady's move. Betting battleground: The fight over. Todd Gurley mistake, missed PAT of the past four seasons. Best individual betting seasons for bet on Super Bowl coin. Last year they were No. Although upgrades were necessary, continuity belongs to Drew BreesNFL team's record against the 10th straight start this week.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (, 55), Thursday, p.m. ET. Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (, ), Sunday. Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-8, ).